It’s no secret I live in a political environment, so naturally I’m engaged will all that’s happening amidst the current election cycle.
Lately, I’ve become obsessed with national polls and the various takes on the 2012 election from across the country. I would love opinions from any of my political friends out there as to which polls they think are reliable- and by that, I mean where the process is more important than a desired outcome.
Let me explain where I am going with this…..Four years ago, I always felt like polls were being used to manipulate the direction of the election instead of presenting an accurate picture of popular sentiment. There were polls who way over-sampled certain demographics, polls that questioned only registered voters and those who used likely voters (those who actually have a voting record of participation). There were even polls who completely ignored voter registration, which at the end of the day is a futile exercise if one is looking for reliable data.
Four years ago, most polling results were all over the place for a while, but in the last few months of the election cycle, seemed to show the same data and trends, regardless of their methodology. It would seem that in the end, they all managed to predict the final results.
Today, I think what we are seeing in the polling data is not necessarily what is happening on the ground. Most polls who use likely voters and don’t over sample, show a very close race….until another poll comes out presenting a completely different scenario. Hmmmmmmm.
Once again, I find myself questioning the polling process and the data which the media uses on a daily basis to generate momentum for one candidate over another…… jury’s still out on that one! So, I am conducting my own, not very scientific poll at all….just for the fun of it! Enjoy!
So, the Senator and I had a mini-date night last night watching the New Hampshire primary returns and the victory speeches of the Republican Presidential candidates.
I know, we are weird like that.
Anyway, I quickly snatched the paper napkin out from under his cup and wrote down my thoughts at the time.
Here they are:
Ann Romney. Wow. I like you. You have MS. You have five children. After hearing your speech last night I’m convinced they need to get you out more often.
Ron Paul. People support you because it is a cause. People support Romney because they want to win.
Newt. Brilliantly articulate. Visionary. I would have paid good money for a front row seat to watch you debate the president. Had you stayed above the fray, you might have had that opportunity.
Huntsman. I really wanted to like you. You are balanced. Smart. Can work well with others… super gorgeous family. America likes that. Maybe in 2016 you will have learned you can’t do this all by yourself. It takes an army of talent and volunteers to win a political campaign of this magnitude. Go find them….fast!
Santorum. No disrespect, but I am at a loss for words. I think my Senator likes you. We were in a heated discussion about your politics during your speech so I have no notes. Not a big fan of the sweater vest, but I sincerely admire your wife for homeschooling seven children. The thought of that ages me.
And….that’s all she wrote…. until South Carolina, of course! When is that one anyway?
Hi there. I’d like to reintroduce myself to the blogosphere. I am a Senator’s Wife. I have two children and they keep my busy. I volunteer during my free time for this non-profit organization. I used to enjoy blogging about politics and life and some of what I see being married to a public servant. But life is hectic and busy and sometimes I just don’t like telling the world what it’s actually like in the fish bowl. Politics is about perception and things aren’t always what they seem.
However, 2012 is an election year and I am glued to the tube when it comes to following this stuff. Maybe it’s because football season is over? Maybe it is because I have started running in the wee hours of the morning and find myself following the political news cycle a little more closely. Running on a treadmill is a dangerous thing unless you are completely sidetracked and entertained by exciting television. Trust me on this one. I am not a runner, nor have I EVER been…until now. After 40, those calories don’t go away like they used to….
Anyway… maybe because I have taken up running, or maybe because I really do have a passion for politics, or more likely because my Senator is term limited and I won’t worry so much about what I say being used against him in the political arena. I am getting ready to take the protective shield down and tell you what its like from the inside because this is my story.
Thanks for letting me share that with you today – the Senator’s Wife